By Asami Miketa, Keywan Riahi, Richard Alexander Roehrl, Leo Schrattenholzer
Sustainable improvement and international weather switch have figured prominently in medical research and overseas policymaking because the early Nineties. This booklet formulates expertise concepts that would result in environmentally sustainable strength structures, in accordance with an research of world weather swap concerns utilizing the idea that of sustainable improvement. The authors specialize in environmentally appropriate, long term know-how advancements in the worldwide power method, whereas additionally contemplating facets of financial and social sustainability. The authors study a number of replacement eventualities and illustrate the diversities among those who meet the factors for sustainable improvement and people who don't. because of their research, they establish various promising socio-economic and environmental improvement paths which are in line with sustainable improvement. One sustainable-development situation and its coverage implications are then awarded intimately from a expertise swap point of view. The authors suggest bold goals for expertise adoption which are judged to accomplish the specified socio-economic and environmental objectives. even if the optimum coverage combine to pursue those goals is obviously country-specific, the authors recommend that energy-related R&D that results in expertise functionality advancements and the advertising of expertise adoption in area of interest markets are the coverage suggestions so as to yield the main major long term merits. Policymakers, economists and researchers engaged on sustainability, power economics, and know-how swap and innovation will welcome this topical and hugely readable booklet.
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Additional resources for Achieving a sustainable global energy system: identifying possibilities using long-term energy scenarios
Between 1850 and approximately 1910, coal substitutes for fuel wood, reaching a peak of approximately 75 per cent. Non-fossil energy still has a 20 per cent share, and oil plus gas covers the remaining 5 per cent. The time period between 1910 and 1970 may be called the ‘oil era’. In those 60 years, oil plus gas reach a share of approximately 55 per cent while coal’s share drops to 30 per cent. Non-fossil energy by and large keeps its 15 per cent share. The three shares do not change much between 1970 and 1990 – at least much less than during the 20 years before that.
The extension of currently existing oil and gas grids and the construction of new natural gas pipelines from Siberia, the Caspian and the Middle East to China, Korea, Japan and South Asia (India) after 2020 lead to large-scale gas and oil trade with the natural gas share in global energy supply surpassing that of crude oil in the 28 Achieving a sustainable global energy system year 2030. 8). A2 The A2 scenario foresees future developments towards a very heterogeneous (regionalized) world, characterized by high population growth in the developing regions, self-reliance in terms of resources, and less emphasis on economic, social and cultural interactions between world regions.
The two scenarios of this family reflect two possible developments of nuclear energy technology. IIASA-WEC C1 The IIASA-WEC C1 scenario reflects the present reservations of environmentalists against nuclear energy. It assumes that the public acceptance of this technology will remain low and that therefore nuclear energy is phased out entirely by the end of the 21st century. IIASA-WEC C2 In IIASA-WEC C2, a new generation of advanced nuclear reactors is developed. The basic role of nuclear energy is the same as in A1T (see the description above), that is, it is widely accepted.